The 2026 PLL Championship Series continues with a semifinal matchup between the Carolina Chaos and Denver Outlaws. We cashed all three of our bets in the first meeting between these teams just a few days ago. Let’s take a look at my best bets for this rematch.
Carolina Chaos vs. Denver Outlaws
 Carolina Moneyline/Spread | -142 / -2.5 |
 Denver Moneyline/Spread | +116 / +2.5 |
| Total | 43.5 |
| Time | Saturday · 6:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN+ |
Odds via FanDuel
Carolina dropped 26 points on Denver on Thursday in a 26-18 win. I expect the Chaos to win again on Saturday, but I think it will be a closer game. Carolina pulled away late in the game and Denver was very sloppy and rushed on offense. The Outlaws had a great chance at making the semifinal game with their score differential, but once Carolina started to pull away and put Denver in a situation that opened the door for Atlas to get in with a win, you could see the Outlaws’ desperation. I expect Coach Tim Soudan to keep Denver more composed and while the Outlaws offense will likely have a tough time against Austin Kaut again, I don’t expect an eight-point blowout. I also still expect a lower-scoring game, but at two points lower, I’m staying away from the total this time around.
Ultimately, I like Chaos to squeak out a close win. If you have bet365, you can bet Carolina at +100 on the moneyline. (Yes, bet365 has Chaos as a 1.5-point underdog, while they’re as big as 2.5-point favorites on FanDuel). Since Carolina was my pre-tournament pick to win the 2026 PLL Championship Series at +350, I’ll forgo a bet on the side in this one and instead target some prop bets. Yet, I still love Carolina to not only beat Denver, but also win their rematch against California if they do advance.
We’re going back to the well and betting Chaos forward Chris Aslanian to score a two-pointer again. We cashed this bet at +144 odds on Thursday, but I still like it at +126. He’s had a two-pointer in all three games so far and was close to having two in the first matchup with Denver. I once again recommend betting a half unit on Chris Aslanian to score a two-point goal at +126 on FanDuel.
I’m also betting Shane Knobloch to have another big game against Denver. Knobloch is averaging six points per game and leads Carolina in touches (82) and shots (35). He only had five points against Denver on Thursday, but was a matchup nightmare and just missed a couple of quality scoring chances. I love this matchup for him once again and expect an even bigger performance in round two. Bet a full unit on Shane Knobloch 6+ Points at +114 and a 0.3 unit on Shane Knobloch 7+ Points at +230 on FanDuel.
Picks: Chris Aslanian to Score a Two-Point Goal (0.5 unit), Shane Knobloch 6+ Points, Shane Knobloch 7+ Points (0.3 unit)
2026 PLL Championship Series Best Bets: 5-4 for +1.355 units (ROI +16.86%).
All bets are to win 1 unit or more (i.e. 1.2 units at -120, 1 unit at +120) unless otherwise specified.
