We went 3-1 last week, improving to 29-19-1 for 10.3 units this season. Earlier this week, we bet both Penn State -1.5 and Ohio State -1.5 and while both are juiced, I’d still bet both at their current odds. Let’s take a look at my handicap for those two games and four more this weekend.
Note: The odds presented below are those at the time when Hutton sends his picks out to DubClub subscribers and are subject to change. Subscribe to Hutton Jackson’s lacrosse picks on DubClub so you never miss out on the best odds for these picks. As soon as Hutton places a bet, you’ll immediately get a notification with both the pick and brief analysis. Picks are sent out at least 20 minutes in advance of articles published on Bet On Lacrosse.
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Stony Brook at Delaware
 Stony Brook Moneyline/Spread | +225 / +2.5 |
 Delaware Moneyline/Spread | -275 / -2.5 |
| Total | 22.5 |
| Time | Saturday · 12 p.m. ET |
| TV | FloSports |
Odds via BetMGM
This spread feels lazy considering what we’ve seen from both teams this season. While the Blue Hens likely will have a possession advantage thanks to their 9th-best adjusted faceoff percentage during competitive situations, the Seawolves are noticeably more effecient on offense and defense. According to Lacrosse Reference, Stony Brook ranks 23rd in adjusted defensive efficiency excluding garbage time compared to Delaware’s 59th ranked defense. The Seawolves’ 35th-ranked offense also edges the Blue Hens’ 52nd-ranked offense in adjusted efficiency.
Delaware is also 3-6 against the spread and 1-4 as a favorite this season, having just lost to a comparable Hofstra team as 3-point favorite last week, 10-17. Meanwhile, Stony Brook is 4-0 against the spread as an underdog, won two of those games outright and nearly one a third before falling to Towson in overtime.
The sportsbooks continue to overrate this year’s Delaware and underrate Stony Brook. The Seawolves are the better team this year and should not only cover, but win outright. Split a unit and bet half on Stony Brook +2.5 (+105 on BetMGM) and half on Stony Brook moneyline (+225 on BetMGM).
Picks: Stony Brook +2.5 (0.5 unit), Stony Brook ML (0.5 unit)
Army at Colgate
 Army Moneyline/Spread | -290 / -2.5 |
 Colgate Moneyline/Spread | +225 / +2.5 |
| Total | 24.5 |
| Time | Saturday · 12 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN+ |
Odds via FanDuel
What happens when you have a game between teams whose offenses are number one and two in pace and both rank in the top 20 in adjusted offensive efficiency during competitive situations? You get a recipe for a high-scoring game. That’s exactly what we have with Army and Colgate this weekend.
We successfully bet the over in Army’s game last weekend and we’re going back to the well this week. The Black Knights rank first in offensive pace and 16th in adjusted offensive efficiency excluding garbage time. They’ll also face a Colgate defense that ranks 51st in adjusted defensive efficiency during competitive situations.
While Army’s defense is still elite, they’ll face an equally potent offense that ranks second in pace and 6th in adjusted offensive efficiency during competitive situations. Even at 24.5, this total is still too low and if the game is close like I expect, the 24.5 offers protection from a potential 13-12 finish in overtime as well.
I expect both teams to push in transition early and often and should be able to find success doing so. Trust these offenses to put up points and bet this game to go Over 24.5 at -104 on FanDuel.
Pick: Over 24.5
Ohio State at Johns Hopkins
 Ohio State Moneyline/Spread | -200 / -1.5 |
 Johns Hopkins Moneyline/Spread | +160 / +1.5 |
| Total | 22.5 |
| Time | Saturday · 2 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPNU |
Odds via bet365
Ohio State is another Big Ten team on a win streak, but unlike Michigan, I think their recent success is sustainable. According to Lacrosse Reference, the Buckeyes rank third in adjusted defensive efficiency and have held teams like Virginia and Notre Dame to their lowest scoring output. Unlike last season, Ohio State’s offense has also been consistently excellent. The Buckeyes rank 11th in adjusted offensive efficiency excluding garbage time and their strong ball movement should cause the Blue Jays some problems.
Hopkins’ defense ranks 47th in adjusted defensive efficiency in competitive situations and a lot of their issues have been masked by the possession advantage they often get from their eighth-ranked faceoff unit. Still, Ohio State’s faceoff unit should be able to limit its impact and I expect Hopkins to struggle to score even if they end up with a handful of extra possessions. I don’t trust this Hopkins team that is 2-7 against the spread and still doesn’t seem to be properly rated by the sportsbooks based on this line.
I still like Ohio State -1.5 even at -140 on bet365 or BetMGM.
Pick: Ohio State -1.5
Yale at Penn
 Yale Moneyline/Spread | -130 / -1.5 |
 Penn Moneyline/Spread | +100 / +1.5 |
| Total | 23.5 |
| Time | Saturday · 3 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN+ |
Odds via bet365
Penn vs. Yale is the battle of confliciting styles. The Quakers want to get into a low-scoring defensive battle, while we’ve seen past Yale teams be driven by their high-powered offense. That said, both teams play at a very slow pace this season and the offensive pedigree hasn’t been present for either team.
Penn’s offense plays at the fifth slowest pace and ranks 38th in adjusted offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Yale plays at the 15th slowest pace during comepetitve situations and ranks 27th in adjusted offense efficiency. While the Bulldogs have been playing better on offense as of late, they’ll contend with a Penn defense that is 16th in adjusted defensive efficiency.
Lacrosse Reference’s total projection is 22.3, which is 1.2 less than the total of 23.5 and I even think this game could finish with even less than that like last year’s 12-9 meeting. Expect a tight, low-scoring game and bet this total to stay Under 23.5 at +100 on bet365.
Pick: Under 23.5
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Virginia at North Carolina
 Virginia Moneyline/Spread | +240 / +3.5 |
 North Carolina Moneyline/Spread | -310 / -3.5 |
| Total | 24.5 |
| Time | Saturday · 4 p.m. ET |
| TV | ACC Network |
Odds via FanDuel
This game features my boldest bet of the week, but it’s one I’m confident in after watching enough film of both teams. North Carolina has exceeded expectations while Virginia is fighting to not finish last in the ACC.
As disappointing as the Cavaliers have been, they’ve been competitive in recent weeks and the market may have overcorrected a bit on this team. While their offense isn’t as elite as years past, Virginia still ranks 28th in adjusted offensive efficiency and had success against a very good Syracuse defense last week. They did a good job of winning their individual matchups and found the soft spots in the middle of the defense—which is something Army did well against UNC last week.
The Tar Heels rank second in offensive efficiency and managed to put up 12 goals against Army last week, but Virginia has the size to challenge North Carolina physically and the Cavaliers have shown the ability to convert defensive stops into transition offense this season.
While Brady Wambach has been dominant at the faceoff dot, Virginia’s Andrew Greenspan excelled against a faceoff specialist with a similar success rate in Syracuse’s John Mullen last week. Greenspan stepped in for the injured starter Anthony Ghobriel, but doesn’t appear to be a downgrade in the slightest and could limit one of the Tar Heels’ biggest strengths.
As much as I like this North Carolina team that I bet to win the ACC at the beginning of the season, I think Virginia can keep this game close and take UNC down to the wire like they did with Syracuse a week ago. Bet a unit on Virginia +3.5 (-122 on FanDuel) and a 0.2 unit on the potential outright upset with Virginia ML (+250 on DraftKings).
Picks: Virginia +3.5, Virginia ML (0.2 unit)
Penn State at Michigan
 Penn State Moneyline/Spread | -175 / -1.5 |
 Michigan Moneyline/Spread | +135 / +1.5 |
| Total | 22.5 |
| Time | Sunday · 12 p.m. ET |
| TV | Big Ten Network |
Odds via DraftKings
The Wolverines have pulled off back-to-back upsets against Big Ten foes. While I didn’t expect them to win outright against Maryland, watching them cover as a 7-point and 1.5-point underdogs didn’t surprise me. Michigan’s defense is the fourth-most efficient this year and the offense has played better than the sum of its parts lately. They’ve had the Terps number for some time and Hopkins has looked worse and worse each week. That all said, I’m finally ready to bet a Michigan game, but I will be fading them this week.
This is a great sell-high spot on Michigan and a great buy-low on Penn State. The Nittany Lions’ defense may not be as efficient, but they’re still 10th in adjusted defensive efficiency when excluding garbage time. Their offense is also much better than Michigan’s and also ranks 10th in adjusted offensive efficiency during competitive situations. The Nittany Lions should also have a faceoff advantage, which will make building and maintaing a mult-goal lead easier.
Trust the Nittany Lions to cover and bet Penn State -1.5 still at -120 on DraftKings.
Pick: Penn State -1.5
2025 College Lacrosse Season Best Bets: 29-19-1 for 10.3 units
All bets are to win 1 unit or more (i.e. 1.2 units at -120, 1 unit at +120) unless otherwise specified.
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